As it stands
after 6 of 6 played · graded results only
Played
- England 4–2 Croatia✓ graded
- Ghana 1–0 Panama✓ graded
- England 0–0 Ghana✓ graded
- Panama 0–1 Croatia✓ graded
- Panama 0–2 England✓ graded
- Croatia 2–1 Ghana✓ graded
The chances, redrawn
openclose
Same simulator, same ratings, with the played games nailed to their real scores and level sides split on real goal difference (the 2026 way: head-to-head, then goal difference). The sealed number above stays exactly where we left it, this is what it would say now.
- England100%sealed 84%
- Croatia100%sealed 67%
- Panama0%sealed 40%