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Alejandro Grimaldo

Spain · the desk

Defence, Spain

Club football at Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    30

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Defence

    Spain

  • club

    Bayer 04 Leverkusen

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1804

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #192

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    2569′

    30 appearances

  • transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers

    20.00

    97th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad
Spain · Defencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Bayer 04 Leverkusenfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1898 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1940 full roster Elo (+42 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Spain's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1863
age curve at 30 (defences' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way
+0
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+35
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1898
form: national-team results, 30 appearances2569 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+42
full roster Elo · with results
1940

Where the +35 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
20.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank
97th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(97.1th) = 46 × 1.89 × 0.4 (position weight) = +35

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-04. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #192 of 1424 rated players on our board.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have added +42 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

  • workload

    He barely leaves the pitch: 86′ a night across 30 folded appearances.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€3.5m€14m €7m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1804the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×2.77
ageage 30, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year
×0.55
defender fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×0.58
individual skillour xG model has no confident read on him, priced on club, age and role only, so the band is wide
×1.00
our estimate
€7m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €1.5m (2016-01). Our estimate today: ≈ €7m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: undervalued , we rate him 365% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

  • 2023-07-01Benfica Bayer Leverkusenfree
  • 2016-01-04Barcelona Benfica€1.5m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Spain’s record

  • at Uruguay0–1Called it
  • v Saudi Arabia5–0Called it
  • v Cape Verde0–0Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Spain. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced