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David Raya

Spain · the desk

Goalkeeper, Spain

Club football at Arsenal FC.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    30

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Goalkeeper

    Spain

  • club

    Arsenal FC

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    2064

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #9

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    3960′

    44 appearances

  • transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers

    30.00

    98th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Minutes on the pitch for Spain. The goals come or they do not; we log either.

  • goals

    0

  • assists

    0

  • caps

    7

  • minutes

    630′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad
Spain · Goalkeeperfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Arsenal FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

2105 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

2139 full roster Elo (+34 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~2144 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the goalkeeper age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Spain's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
2058
age curve at 30 (goalkeepers' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
-3
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+50
quality rating · club, age + measured output
2105
form: national-team results, 44 appearances3960 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+34
full roster Elo · with results
2139

Rating trend

-130 over 45 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +50 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
30.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank
98th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(98.5th) = 46 × 2.17 × 0.5 (position weight) = +50

Where the +34 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

internationals, qualifiers & cups7 apps · 630
+8
club football37 apps · 3330
+27

His latest nights

  • 2026-05-18club football · 90 · team result only▲ +1
  • 2026-05-10club football · 90 · team result only▲ +2
  • 2026-05-02club football · 90 · team result only▲ +3
  • 2026-04-25club football · 90 · team result only▲ +2
  • 2026-04-19club football · 90 · team result only▼ −4

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-05-18. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #9 of 1424 on our board, inside the top 1% of everyone we rate.

  • best night

    His best night in our ledger: +7 in one sitting, internationals, qualifiers & cups, 2024-09-08.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have added +34 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€17m€67m €34m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 2064the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×10.18
ageage 30, in the fee-peak window (27–30)
×1.00
goalkeeper fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×0.43
individual skillmeasured 58th percentile of peers
×1.07
our estimate
€34m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €32m (2024-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €34m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

  • 2024-07-04Brentford Arsenal€32m
  • 2024-07-01Arsenal Brentfordundisclosed
  • 2023-08-15Brentford Arsenalloan
  • 2019-07-06Blackburn Brentford€3m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Spain’s record

  • at Uruguay0–1Called it
  • v Saudi Arabia5–0Called it
  • v Cape Verde0–0Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Spain. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced