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Nico Williams

Spain · the desk

Offence, Spain

Club football at Athletic Club.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    23

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Spain

  • club

    Athletic Club

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1678

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #427

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    3053′

    49 appearances

  • npxG + xA per 90

    0.29

    79th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Minutes on the pitch for Spain. The goals come or they do not; we log either.

  • goals

    0

  • assists

    0

  • caps

    27

  • minutes

    1622′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad
Spain · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Athletic Clubfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1799 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1810 full roster Elo (+10 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1817 ±46 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Spain's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1768
age curve at 23 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
-7
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+38
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1799
form: national-team results, 49 appearances3053 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+10
full roster Elo · with results
1810

Rating trend

-385 over 50 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +38 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
0.29 npxG + xA per 90
his rank
79th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(79.4th) = 46 × 0.82 = +38

Where the +10 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals7 apps · 206
-20
internationals, qualifiers & cups20 apps · 1416
+11
club football22 apps · 1431
+19

His latest nights

  • 2026-06-27World Cup finals · 19 · team result only▲ +1
  • 2026-06-21World Cup finals · 35▼ −0
  • 2026-06-15World Cup finals · 7 · team result only▼ −1
  • 2026-05-10club football · 36 · team result only▼ −2
  • 2026-05-02club football · 89 · team result only▲ +10

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

· 0

3 appearances · 61′ · 1 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

  • 06-27won by 1 · 19′ · team result only▲ +1
  • 06-21won by 4 · 35′ · his stats graded· 0
  • 06-15drew · 7′ · team result only▼ −1

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #427 of 1424 rated players on our board.

  • best night

    His best night in our ledger: +10 in one sitting, club football, 2026-05-02.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have added +10 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€11m€41m €21m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1678the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×1.81
ageage 23, the resale premium a club pays for the years to come
×1.07
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×1.00
individual skillmeasured 79th percentile of peers
×1.42
our estimate
€21m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

In our coverage · Spain’s record

  • at Uruguay0–1Called it
  • v Saudi Arabia5–0Called it
  • v Cape Verde0–0Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Spain. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced