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Alexander Sørloth

Norway · the desk

Offence, Norway

Club football at Club Atlético de Madrid.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    30

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Norway

  • club

    Club Atlético de Madrid

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1828

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #152

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    2976′

    48 appearances

  • npxG per 90

    0.58

    100th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad
Norway · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Club Atlético de Madridfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1921 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1908 full roster Elo (14 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Norway's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1809
age curve at 30 (offences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls
-7
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+119
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1921
form: national-team results, 48 appearances2976 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
-14
full roster Elo · with results
1908

Where the +119 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
0.58 npxG per 90
his rank
100th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(99.5th) = 46 × 2.60 = +119

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-23. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #152 of 1424 rated players on our board.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have cost him 14 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€12m€46m €23m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1828the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×3.13
ageage 30, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year
×0.55
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×1.00
individual skillmeasured 100th percentile of peers
×1.81
our estimate
€23m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €32m (2024-08). Our estimate today: ≈ €23m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: richly priced , we rate him 28% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

  • 2024-08-03Villarreal Atletico Madrid€32m
  • 2023-07-25RB Leipzig Villarreal€10m
  • 2023-07-01Real Sociedad RB Leipzigundisclosed
  • 2022-08-29RB Leipzig Real Sociedadloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Norway’s record

  • at Ivory CoastSealed
  • v France1–4Missed it
  • v Senegal3–2Called it
  • at Iraq1–4Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Norway. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced