Skip to content

Orbelín Pineda

Mexico · the desk

Midfield, Mexico

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    29

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Midfield

    Mexico

  • our board

    #733

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    912′

    21 appearances

  • transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers

    7.00

    92th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad
Mexico · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1728 ±46

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1736 full roster Elo (+8 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Mexico's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1711
age curve at 29 (midfields' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls
-15
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+32
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1728
form: national-team results, 21 appearances912 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+8
full roster Elo · with results
1736

Where the +32 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
7.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank
92th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(91.6th) = 46 × 1.38 × 0.5 (position weight) = +32

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-19. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #733 of 1424 rated players on our board.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €6.5m (2023-07). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

  • 2023-07-01Celta Vigo → AEK Athens FC€6.5m
  • 2022-07-15Celta Vigo → AEK Athens FCloan
  • 2022-01-07Cruz Azul → Celta Vigofree
  • 2019-01-01Guadalajara Chivas → Cruz Azul€11m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Mexico’s record

  • v EcuadorSealed
  • at Czech Republic0–3Called it
  • v South Korea1–0Called it
  • v South Africa2–0Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Mexico. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced