Raúl Jiménez

Offence, Mexico

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
34
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Mexico
our board
#196
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
3201′
49 appearances
npxG per 90
0.39
95th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad: Mexico · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1895 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1932 full roster Elo (+37 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Mexico's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1840
age curve at 34 (offences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls: -22
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +78
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1895
form: national-team results, 49 appearances3201 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +37
full roster Elo · with results: 1932

Where the +78 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.39 npxG per 90
his rank: 95th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(95.4th) = 46 × 1.69 = +78

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-19. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#196 of 1424 rated players on our board.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +37 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €6.4m (2023-07). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

2023-07-25Wolves → Fulham€6.4m
2019-07-01Benfica → Wolves€34m
2018-07-01Benfica → Wolvesloan
2015-08-13Atletico Madrid → Benficaundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Mexico’s record

v EcuadorSealed
at Czech Republic0–3Called it
v South Korea1–0Called it
v South Africa2–0Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Mexico. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.