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Marco Pašalić

Croatia · the desk

Offence, Croatia

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    25

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Croatia

  • our board

    #1015

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    1123′

    24 appearances

  • npxG + xA per 90

    0.28

    78th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad
Croatia · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1640 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1623 full roster Elo (−18 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1623 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Croatia's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1623
age curve at 25 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
0
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+18
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1640
form: national-team results, 24 appearances1123 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
-18
full roster Elo · with results
1623

Where the +18 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
0.28 npxG + xA per 90
his rank
78th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(78.0th) = 46 × 0.77 × 0.5 (position weight) = +18

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #1015 of 1424 rated players on our board.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have cost him 18 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

  • 2025-02-05HNK Rijeka → Orlando City SCundisclosed
  • 2023-07-01Borussia Dortmund → HNK Rijekaundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Croatia’s record

  • v Ghana2–1Called it
  • at Panama0–1Called it
  • at England4–2Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Croatia. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced