Offence, Croatia
Club football at TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.
At a glance
age
34
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Croatia
club
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
football-data.org
club tier
1700
ClubElo strength
our board
#616
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
3091′
47 appearances
npxG + xA per 90
0.34
84th percentile of peers
Sourced
- squad
- Croatia · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
- club
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.
Our rating · the working
the board →1755 ±45
his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.
How the number is builtopenclose
1788 full roster Elo (+33 from national-team results)
the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band
Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much
at or near his peak, no projected upside from age
Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.
- starts at Croatia's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
- 1773
- age curve at 34 (offences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls
- -41
- attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
- +23
- quality rating · club, age + measured output
- 1755
- form: national-team results, 47 appearances3091 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
- +33
- full roster Elo · with results
- 1788
Where the +23 skill term comes from
Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.
- measured
- 0.34 npxG + xA per 90
- his rank
- 84th percentile of qualified peers
- scored from
- the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
- the arithmetic
- 46 pts/σ × z(84.3th) = 46 × 1.01 × 0.5 (position weight) = +23
A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-17. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.
The notebook
The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.
standing
#616 of 1424 rated players on our board.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +33 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.
What he’d cost · our estimate
€2.4m–€9.3m ≈ €4.7m
Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.
The workingopenclose
- reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
- €8m
- club tier 1700the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
- ×1.95
- ageage 34, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year
- ×0.25
- midfielder fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
- ×0.90
- individual skillmeasured 84th percentile of peers
- ×1.34
- our estimate
- ≈ €4.7m
fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.
The fee record · sourced
The market’s last public word: €10m (2016-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €4.7m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.
our read: richly priced , we rate him 53% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)
- 2016-07-01Leicester → 1899 Hoffenheim€10m
- 2016-01-20Leicester → 1899 Hoffenheimloan
- 2015-01-16HNK Rijeka → Leicester€12m
- 2013-08-31Dinamo Zagreb → HNK Rijeka€1.2m
Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.
In our coverage · Croatia’s record
- v Ghana2–1Called it
- at Panama0–1Called it
- at England4–2Called it
The newsroom’s calls on Croatia. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.
Squad · sourced
- Ante Budimir
- Dominik Kotarski
- Dominik Livaković
- Duje Ćaleta-Car
- Igor Matanovic
- Ivan Perišić
- Ivor Pandur
- Josip Stanišić
- Josip Šutalo
- Joško Gvardiol
- Kristijan Jakić
- Luka Modrić
- Luka Sučić
- Luka Vušković
- Marco Pašalić
- Marin Pongračić
- Mario Pašalić
- Martin Baturina
- Martin Erlic
- Mateo Kovačić
- Nikola Moro
- Nikola Vlašić
- Petar Musa
- Petar Sucic
- Toni Fruk