Offence, Brazil
Club football at Real Madrid CF.
Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.
At a glance
age
25
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Brazil
club
Real Madrid CF
football-data.org
club tier
1923
ClubElo strength
our board
#22
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
4560′
57 appearances
transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
140.00
100th percentile of peers
On the pitch
Goals and assists for Brazil, on the record and counted.
goals
3
assists
1
caps
21
minutes
1735′
goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record
Sourced
- squad
- Brazil · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
- club
- Real Madrid CFfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.
Our rating · the working
the board →2060 ±45
his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.
How the number is builtopenclose
2092 full roster Elo (+31 from national-team results)
the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band
Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much
potential ~2102 ±46 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve
Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.
- starts at Brazil's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
- 1991
- age curve at 25 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
- -7
- transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
- +76
- quality rating · club, age + measured output
- 2060
- form: national-team results, 57 appearances4560 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
- +31
- full roster Elo · with results
- 2092
Rating trend
+24 over 58 updatesSeeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.
Where the +76 skill term comes from
Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.
- measured
- 140.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
- his rank
- 100th percentile of qualified peers
- scored from
- the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
- the arithmetic
- 46 pts/σ × z(100.0th) = 46 × 3.30 × 0.5 (position weight) = +76
Where the +31 was earned
The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.
- World Cup finals8 apps · 668′
- +44
- internationals, qualifiers & cups11 apps · 977′
- -7
- international friendlies2 apps · 90′
- +1
- club football36 apps · 2825′
- -7
His latest nights
- 2026-06-29World Cup finals · 99′▲ +1
- 2026-06-24World Cup finals · 93′▲ +11
- 2026-06-20World Cup finals · 81′▲ +8
- 2026-06-13World Cup finals · 93′▼ −1
- 2026-06-06international friendlies · 45′ · team result only▲ +0
Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.
A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-29. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.
At this World Cup
What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.
▲ +20
4 appearances · 366′ · 4 graded by his own stats
The matches behind it
- 06-29won by 1 · 99′ · his stats graded▲ +1
- 06-24won by 3 · 93′ · his stats graded▲ +11
- 06-20won by 3 · 81′ · his stats graded▲ +8
- 06-13drew · 93′ · his stats graded▼ −1
The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.
The notebook
The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.
standing
#22 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
best night
His best night in our ledger: +11 in one sitting, World Cup finals, 2026-06-24.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +31 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.
What he’d cost · our estimate
€29m–€115m ≈ €58m
Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.
The workingopenclose
- reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
- €8m
- club tier 1923the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
- ×5.03
- ageage 25, in the fee-peak window (24–27)
- ×1.00
- attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
- ×1.00
- individual skillmeasured 91th percentile of peers
- ×1.63
- our estimate
- ≈ €58m
fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.
The fee record · sourced
The market’s last public word: €45m (2018-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €58m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.
our read: undervalued , we rate him 29% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)
- 2018-07-12Flamengo → Real Madrid€45m
Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.
In our coverage · Brazil’s record
- v Japan2–1Called it
- at Scotland0–3Called it
- v Haiti3–0Called it
- v Morocco1–1Missed it
The newsroom’s calls on Brazil. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.
Squad · sourced