Offence, Brazil
Club football at Arsenal FC.
Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.
At a glance
age
24
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Brazil
club
Arsenal FC
football-data.org
club tier
2064
ClubElo strength
our board
#2
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
1435′
43 appearances
npxG per 90
0.35
92th percentile of peers
On the pitch
Goals for Brazil, on the record and counted.
goals
1
assists
0
goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record
Sourced
- squad
- Brazil · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
- club
- Arsenal FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.
Our rating · the working
the board →2156 ±45
his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.
How the number is builtopenclose
2149 full roster Elo (−7 from national-team results)
the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band
Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much
potential ~2154 ±46 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve
Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.
- starts at Brazil's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
- 2097
- age curve at 24 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
- -7
- attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
- +65
- quality rating · club, age + measured output
- 2156
- form: national-team results, 43 appearances1435 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
- -7
- full roster Elo · with results
- 2149
Where the +65 skill term comes from
Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.
- measured
- 0.35 npxG per 90
- his rank
- 92th percentile of qualified peers
- scored from
- recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
- the arithmetic
- 46 pts/σ × z(92.3th) = 46 × 1.42 = +65
A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-29. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.
The notebook
The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.
standing
#2 of 1424 on our board, inside the top 1% of everyone we rate.
What he’d cost · our estimate
€59m–€200m ≈ €116m
Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.
The workingopenclose
- reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
- €8m
- club tier 2064the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
- ×10.18
- ageage 24, in the fee-peak window (24–27)
- ×1.00
- attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
- ×1.00
- individual skillmeasured 92th percentile of peers
- ×1.66
- our estimate
- ≈ €116m
fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.
The fee record · sourced
- 2019-07-02Ituano → Arsenal U21undisclosed
Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.
In our coverage · Brazil’s record
- v Japan2–1Called it
- at Scotland0–3Called it
- v Haiti3–0Called it
- v Morocco1–1Missed it
The newsroom’s calls on Brazil. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.
Squad · sourced