As it stands
after 6 of 6 played · graded results only
Played
- Germany 7–1 Curaçao✓ graded
- Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador✓ graded
- Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast✓ graded
- Ecuador 0–0 Curaçao✓ graded
- Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast✓ graded
- Ecuador 2–1 Germany✓ graded
The chances, redrawn
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Same simulator, same ratings, with the played games nailed to their real scores and level sides split on real goal difference (the 2026 way: head-to-head, then goal difference). The sealed number above stays exactly where we left it, this is what it would say now.
- Germany100%sealed 77%
- Ivory Coast100%sealed 35%
- Ecuador0%sealed 79%