Emiliano Martínez

Club football at SE Palmeiras.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
26
sourced with the squad
position
Midfield
Uruguay
club
SE Palmeiras
football-data.org
club tier
1810
our estimate · league-based
our board
#452
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
389′
10 appearances
npxG per 90
0.00
0th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad: Uruguay · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: SE Palmeirasfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1792 ±59

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1808 full roster Elo (+16 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Uruguay's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1852
age curve at 26 (midfields' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way: +0
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: -60
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1792
form: national-team results, 10 appearances389 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +16
full roster Elo · with results: 1808

Where the -60 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.00 npxG per 90
his rank: 0th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(0.5th) = 46 × -2.60 × 0.5 (position weight) = -60

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-05-24. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#452 of 1424 rated players on our board.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +16 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€6.6m–€26m ≈ €13m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1810the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×2.86
ageage 26, in the fee-peak window (24–27): ×1.00
midfielder fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×0.90
individual skillmeasured 0th percentile of peers: ×0.66
our estimate: ≈ €13m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €3.4m (2021-08). Our estimate today: ≈ €13m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: undervalued , we rate him 284% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2025-01-24FC Midtjylland → Palmeirasundisclosed
2023-01-01RB Bragantino → FC Midtjyllandundisclosed
2022-08-31RB Bragantino → FC Midtjyllandloan
2021-08-30Club Nacional → RB Bragantino€3.4m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Uruguay’s record

v Spain0–1Called it
v Cape Verde2–2Missed it
at Saudi Arabia1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Uruguay. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.