Darwin Núñez

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
26
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Uruguay
our board
#949
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
2195′
30 appearances
npxG + xA per 90
0.38
89th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad: Uruguay · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1670 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1706 full roster Elo (+36 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1715 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Uruguay's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1620
age curve at 26 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior: -6
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +57
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1670
form: national-team results, 30 appearances2195 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +36
full roster Elo · with results: 1706

Where the +57 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.38 npxG + xA per 90
his rank: 89th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(89.1th) = 46 × 1.23 = +57

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#949 of 1424 rated players on our board.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +36 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €75m (2022-06). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

2025-08-08Liverpool → Al-Hilal Saudi FCundisclosed
2025-08-07Liverpool → Al Hilalundisclosed
2022-06-14Benfica → Liverpool€75m
2020-09-04Almeria → Benfica€25m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Uruguay’s record

v Spain0–1Called it
v Cape Verde2–2Missed it
at Saudi Arabia1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Uruguay. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.