Offence, Sweden
Club football at Arsenal FC.
Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.
At a glance
age
27
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Sweden
club
Arsenal FC
football-data.org
club tier
2064
ClubElo strength
our board
#16
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
2267′
31 appearances
npxG per 90
0.39
95th percentile of peers
On the pitch
Goals and assists for Sweden, on the record and counted.
goals
1
assists
2
goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record
Sourced
- squad
- Sweden · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
- club
- Arsenal FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.
Our rating · the working
the board →2076 ±45
his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.
How the number is builtopenclose
2078 full roster Elo (+2 from national-team results)
the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band
Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much
potential ~2082 ±45 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve
Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.
- starts at Sweden's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
- 2005
- age curve at 27 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
- -4
- attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
- +76
- quality rating · club, age + measured output
- 2076
- form: national-team results, 31 appearances2267 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
- +2
- full roster Elo · with results
- 2078
Where the +76 skill term comes from
Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.
- measured
- 0.39 npxG per 90
- his rank
- 95th percentile of qualified peers
- scored from
- recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
- the arithmetic
- 46 pts/σ × z(95.0th) = 46 × 1.65 = +76
A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-25. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.
The notebook
The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.
standing
#16 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
What he’d cost · our estimate
€61m–€200m ≈ €119m
Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.
The workingopenclose
- reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
- €8m
- club tier 2064the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
- ×10.18
- ageage 27, in the fee-peak window (24–27)
- ×1.00
- attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
- ×1.00
- individual skillmeasured 95th percentile of peers
- ×1.72
- our estimate
- ≈ €119m
fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.
The fee record · sourced
The market’s last public word: €20m (2023-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €119m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.
our read: undervalued , we rate him 497% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)
- 2025-07-26Sporting CP → Arsenalundisclosed
- 2025-07-25Sporting CP → Arsenalundisclosed
- 2023-07-13Coventry → Sporting CP€20m
- 2021-07-09Brighton → Coventryundisclosed
Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.
In our coverage · Sweden’s record
- at FranceSealed
- at Japan1–1Missed it
- at Netherlands5–1Called it
- v Tunisia5–1Called it
The newsroom’s calls on Sweden. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.
Squad · sourced
- Alexander Bernhardsson
- Alexander Isak
- Anthony Elanga
- Benjamin Nygren
- Besfort Zeneli
- Carl Starfelt
- Daniel Svensson
- Elliot Stroud
- Eric Smith
- Gabriel Gudmundsson
- Gustaf Lagerbielke
- Gustaf Nilsson
- Herman Johansson
- Hjalmar Ekdal
- Isak Hien
- Jacob Widell Zetterström
- Jesper Karlström
- Ken Sema
- Kristoffer Nordfeldt
- Lucas Bergvall
- Mattias Svanberg
- Taha Ali
- Victor Nilsson-Lindelöf
- Viktor Johansson
- Yasin Ayari