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Victor Nilsson-Lindelöf

Sweden · the desk

Defence, Sweden

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    31

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Defence

    Sweden

  • our board

    #155

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    1762′

    23 appearances

  • transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers

    5.00

    89th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad
Sweden · Defencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1920 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1895 full roster Elo (−24 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Sweden's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1897
age curve at 31 (defences' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way
+0
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+23
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1920
form: national-team results, 23 appearances1762 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
-24
full roster Elo · with results
1895

Where the +23 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
5.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank
89th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(89.1th) = 46 × 1.23 × 0.4 (position weight) = +23

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-25. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #155 of 1424 rated players on our board.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have cost him 24 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €35m (2017-06). The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

  • 2025-09-01Manchester United → Aston Villafree
  • 2017-06-14Benfica → Manchester United€35m
  • 2012-04-15Benfica → Vasteras SK FKloan
  • 2012-01-01Vasteras SK FK → Benficaundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Sweden’s record

  • at FranceSealed
  • at Japan1–1Missed it
  • at Netherlands5–1Called it
  • v Tunisia5–1Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Sweden. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced