Liam Kelly

Goalkeeper, Scotland

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
29
sourced with the squad
position
Goalkeeper
Scotland
club tier
1517
ClubElo strength
our board
#1214
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
58′
2 appearances

Sourced

squad: Scotland · Goalkeeperfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1562 ±75

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1560 full roster Elo (−2 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1565 ±75 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the goalkeeper age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Scotland's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1573
age curve at 29 (goalkeepers' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls: -10
individual skill termour club xG models haven't seen enough of him for a confident read, so nothing is added, never guessed: +0
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1562
form: national-team results, 2 appearances58 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: -2
full roster Elo · with results: 1560

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-05-30. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#1214 of 1424 rated players on our board.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€1.9m–€7.3m ≈ €3.7m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1517the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×1.06
ageage 29, in the fee-peak window (27–30): ×1.00
goalkeeper fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×0.43
individual skillour xG model has no confident read on him, priced on club, age and role only, so the band is wide: ×1.00
our estimate: ≈ €3.7m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

2024-06-27Motherwell → Rangersfree
2021-07-05QPR → Motherwellundisclosed
2021-06-01Motherwell → QPRundisclosed
2021-01-06QPR → Motherwellloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Scotland’s record

v Brazil0–3Called it
v Morocco0–1Called it
at Haiti0–1Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Scotland. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.