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John McGinn

Scotland · the desk

Midfield, Scotland

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    31

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Midfield

    Scotland

  • our board

    #186

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    3145′

    41 appearances

  • transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers

    13.00

    95th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Goals for Scotland, on the record and counted.

  • goals

    1

  • assists

    0

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad
Scotland · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1901 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1956 full roster Elo (+55 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Scotland's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1889
age curve at 31 (midfields' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls
-26
transfer market value, a sourced market-consensus quality prior (the stronger reading for him here)his percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+38
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1901
form: national-team results, 41 appearances3145 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+55
full roster Elo · with results
1956

Where the +38 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
13.00 transfer market value (EUR millions), as a rank among peers
his rank
95th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the CC0 Transfermarkt community mirror; a market-consensus quality prior, taken at a capped weight where it reads a player higher than our (fixed, partial) shot/event data can
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(95.2th) = 46 × 1.66 × 0.5 (position weight) = +38

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-24. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #186 of 1424 rated players on our board.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have added +55 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

We don’t price him yet. Our fee model leans on the level he plays at, and no trusted source has given us his club’s strength. We’d rather show nothing than a number we don’t trust.

The fee record · sourced

  • 2018-08-08Hibernian → Aston Villaundisclosed
  • 2015-07-01ST Mirren → Hibernianundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Scotland’s record

  • v Brazil0–3Called it
  • v Morocco0–1Called it
  • at Haiti0–1Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Scotland. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced