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Lautaro Martínez

Argentina · the desk

Offence, Argentina

Club football at FC Internazionale Milano.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    28

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Argentina

  • club

    FC Internazionale Milano

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1889

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #129

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    3268′

    53 appearances

  • npxG per 90

    0.04

    29th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Goals for Argentina, on the record and counted.

  • goals

    1

  • assists

    0

  • caps

    25

  • minutes

    1259′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad
Argentina · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
FC Internazionale Milanofootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1938 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1918 full roster Elo (19 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Argentina's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1963
age curve at 28 (offences' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way
+0
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
-25
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1938
form: national-team results, 53 appearances3268 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
-19
full roster Elo · with results
1918

Rating trend

-270 over 54 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the -25 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
0.04 npxG per 90
his rank
29th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(29.1th) = 46 × -0.55 = -25

Where the -19 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals9 apps · 418
-13
internationals, qualifiers & cups14 apps · 733
-31
international friendlies2 apps · 108
+1
club football28 apps · 2009
+25

His latest nights

  • 2026-06-28World Cup finals · 60▲ +6
  • 2026-06-22World Cup finals · 65▲ +1
  • 2026-06-17World Cup finals · 55▲ +3
  • 2026-06-10international friendlies · 45 · team result only▲ +0
  • 2026-06-07international friendlies · 63 · team result only▲ +0

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-28. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▲ +10

3 appearances · 180′ · 3 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

  • 06-28won by 2 · 60′ · his stats graded▲ +6
  • 06-22won by 2 · 65′ · his stats graded▲ +1
  • 06-17won by 3 · 55′ · his stats graded▲ +3

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #129 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.

  • best night

    His best night in our ledger: +7 in one sitting, World Cup finals, 2022-11-26.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have cost him 19 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€10m€40m €20m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1889the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×4.24
ageage 28, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year
×0.82
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×1.00
individual skillmeasured 29th percentile of peers
×0.78
our estimate
€20m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €23m (2018-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €20m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

  • 2018-07-04Racing Club Inter€23m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Argentina’s record

  • at Jordan1–3Called it
  • v Austria2–0Called it
  • v Algeria3–0Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Argentina. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced