José Manuel López

Club football at SE Palmeiras.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
25
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Argentina
club
SE Palmeiras
football-data.org
club tier
1810
our estimate · league-based
our board
#303
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
1412′
20 appearances
npxG per 90
0.02
14th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad: Argentina · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: SE Palmeirasfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1848 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1900 full roster Elo (+52 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1911 ±46 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Argentina's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1904
age curve at 25 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior: -7
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: -49
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1848
form: national-team results, 20 appearances1412 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +52
full roster Elo · with results: 1900

Where the -49 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.02 npxG per 90
his rank: 14th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(14.2th) = 46 × -1.07 = -49

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-28. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#303 of 1424 rated players on our board.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +52 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€7.2m–€28m ≈ €14m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1810the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×2.86
ageage 25, in the fee-peak window (24–27): ×1.00
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×1.00
individual skillmeasured 14th percentile of peers: ×0.65
our estimate: ≈ €14m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

2022-07-18Lanus → Palmeirasundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Argentina’s record

at Jordan1–3Called it
v Austria2–0Called it
v Algeria3–0Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Argentina. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.