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Nicolas Jackson

Senegal · the desk

Offence, Senegal

Club football at FC Bayern München.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    24

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Senegal

  • club

    FC Bayern München

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    2001

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #24

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    1061′

    20 appearances

  • npxG per 90

    0.47

    98th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Chances created for Senegal, on the record.

  • goals

    0

  • assists

    1

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad
Senegal · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
FC Bayern Münchenfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

2055 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

2037 full roster Elo (18 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~2043 ±46 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Senegal's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1966
age curve at 24 (offences' curve)young-side discount halved, his measured production overrides the average-youngster prior
-7
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+96
quality rating · club, age + measured output
2055
form: national-team results, 20 appearances1061 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
-18
full roster Elo · with results
2037

Where the +96 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
0.47 npxG per 90
his rank
98th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(98.2th) = 46 × 2.09 = +96

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-26. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #24 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have cost him 18 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€47m€181m €92m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 2001the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×7.43
ageage 24, in the fee-peak window (24–27)
×1.00
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×1.00
individual skillmeasured 98th percentile of peers
×1.78
our estimate
€92m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €37m (2023-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €92m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: undervalued , we rate him 148% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

  • 2025-09-01Chelsea Bayern Münchenloan
  • 2023-07-01Villarreal Chelsea€37m
  • 2021-07-01Mirandes Villarreal IIundisclosed
  • 2020-10-05Villarreal II Mirandesloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Senegal’s record

  • at BelgiumSealed
  • v Iraq5–0Called it
  • at Norway3–2Called it
  • at France3–1Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Senegal. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced