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Gustavo Caballero

Paraguay · the desk

Offence, Paraguay

Club football at Portsmouth FC.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    24

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Paraguay

  • club

    Portsmouth FC

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1499

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #1226

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    131′

    3 appearances

Sourced

squad
Paraguay · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Portsmouth FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-25

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1559 ±70

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1562 full roster Elo (+4 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

potential ~1565 ±71 a projection, not a measurement: room left on the offence age curve

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Paraguay's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1566
age curve at 24 (offences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls
-7
individual skill termour club xG models haven't seen enough of him for a confident read, so nothing is added, never guessed
+0
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1559
form: national-team results, 3 appearances131 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+4
full roster Elo · with results
1562

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-29. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #1226 of 1424 rated players on our board.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€3.6m€14m €7.2m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1499the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×1.00
ageage 24, in the fee-peak window (24–27)
×1.00
midfielder fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×0.90
individual skillour xG model has no confident read on him, priced on club, age and role only, so the band is wide
×1.00
our estimate
€7.2m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

  • 2026-02-01Santos Portsmouthloan
  • 2025-07-25Nacional Asuncion Santosundisclosed
  • 2025-07-23Nacional Asuncion Santosundisclosed
  • 2024-01-01Sportivo Ameliano Nacional Asuncionundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Paraguay’s record

  • at GermanySealed
  • v Australia0–0Called it
  • at Turkey0–1Missed it
  • at USA4–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Paraguay. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced