Mohamed Salah

Offence, Egypt

Club football at Liverpool FC.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
33
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Egypt
club
Liverpool FC
football-data.org
club tier
1911
ClubElo strength
our board
#118
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
1931′
25 appearances
npxG per 90
0.44
97th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Goals and assists for Egypt, on the record and counted.

goals
1
assists
2
caps
12
minutes
966′

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: Egypt · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: Liverpool FCfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1946 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1979 full roster Elo (+33 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Egypt's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1880
age curve at 33 (offences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls: -20
attacking output in club football, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +86
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1946
form: national-team results, 25 appearances1931 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: +33
full roster Elo · with results: 1979

Rating trend

+193 over 26 updates

Seeded from his team’s rating, then moved by the matches he actually played. A shadow signal, it never touches a live call.

Where the +86 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.44 npxG per 90
his rank: 97th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: recent club seasons, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(96.9th) = 46 × 1.87 = +86

Where the +33 was earned

The earned line, opened up by competition. World Cup finals count 1.5×, qualifiers and cups 1×, friendlies and club football half, so a tournament night moves him most.

World Cup finals3 apps · 218′: +23
internationals, qualifiers & cups8 apps · 704′: +9
international friendlies1 app · 44′: 0
club football13 apps · 965′: +2

His latest nights

2026-06-27World Cup finals · 57′▼ −2
2026-06-22World Cup finals · 85′▲ +17
2026-06-15World Cup finals · 76′▲ +8
2026-06-06international friendlies · 44′ · team result only▼ −0
2026-05-24club football · 74′ · team result only▼ −2

Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own match stats, saves for keepers, tackles and duels for defenders, creation for midfielders, finishing up front. “Team result only” marks games where the feed carried no player stats.

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

At this World Cup

What the tournament has done to his rating since the first whistle on 11 Jun, and the matches behind it. Each night’s move blends his team’s result with his own performance, shrunk for sample size, so a strong game nudges the number rather than spiking it.

▲ +23

3 appearances · 218′ · 3 graded by his own stats

The matches behind it

06-27drew · 57′ · his stats graded▼ −2
06-22won by 2 · 85′ · his stats graded▲ +17
06-15drew · 76′ · his stats graded▲ +8

The same movement shown beside his name on the board, opened up. “Team result only” marks nights the feed carried no player stats. A forward-only shadow signal; it never touches a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#118 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
best night
His best night in our ledger: +17 in one sitting, World Cup finals, 2026-06-22.
vs his seed
The folded nights have added +33 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€9.6m–€37m ≈ €19m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1911the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×4.74
ageage 33, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year: ×0.30
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×1.00
individual skillmeasured 97th percentile of peers: ×1.76
our estimate: ≈ €19m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €42m (2017-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €19m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: richly priced , we rate him 55% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2017-07-01AS Roma → Liverpool€42m
2016-07-01Chelsea → AS Roma€15m
2015-08-06Chelsea → AS Romaloan
2015-02-02Chelsea → Fiorentinaloan

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Egypt’s record

v Iran1–2Called it
at New Zealand1–3Called it
at Belgium1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Egypt. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.