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Luis Suárez

Colombia · the desk

Offence, Colombia

Club football at Sporting Clube de Portugal.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

  • age

    28

    sourced with the squad

  • position

    Offence

    Colombia

  • club

    Sporting Clube de Portugal

    football-data.org

  • club tier

    1848

    ClubElo strength

  • our board

    #74

    of 1424 rated players

  • folded so far

    2741′

    36 appearances

  • npxG + xA per 90

    0.68

    99th percentile of peers

Sourced

squad
Colombia · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club
Sporting Clube de Portugalfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board

1992 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

2016 full roster Elo (+25 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Colombia's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point
1884
age curve at 28 (offences' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way
+0
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons
+108
quality rating · club, age + measured output
1992
form: national-team results, 36 appearances2741 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI
+25
full roster Elo · with results
2016

Where the +108 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured
0.68 npxG + xA per 90
his rank
99th percentile of qualified peers
scored from
the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic
46 pts/σ × z(99.1th) = 46 × 2.35 = +108

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

  • standing

    #74 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.

  • vs his seed

    The folded nights have added +25 to the number he seeded with, he has outplayed his own prior.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€19m€73m €37m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose
reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill
€8m
club tier 1848the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays
×3.46
ageage 28, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year
×0.82
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts
×1.00
individual skillmeasured 99th percentile of peers
×1.80
our estimate
€37m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €8m (2023-07). Our estimate today: ≈ €37m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: undervalued , we rate him 364% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

  • 2025-07-28Almeria Sporting CPundisclosed
  • 2023-07-01Marseille Almeria€8m
  • 2022-12-05Marseille Almerialoan
  • 2022-07-19Granada CF Marseilleundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Colombia’s record

  • v Portugal0–0Missed it
  • v DR Congo1–0Called it
  • at Uzbekistan1–3Called it

The newsroom’s calls on Colombia. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.

Squad · sourced