Alphonso Davies

Defence, Canada

Club football at FC Bayern München.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
25
sourced with the squad
position
Defence
Canada
club
FC Bayern München
football-data.org
club tier
2001
ClubElo strength
our board
#104
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
1225′
23 appearances

Sourced

squad: Canada · Defencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: FC Bayern Münchenfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1960 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1938 full roster Elo (−22 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Canada's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1960
age curve at 25 (defences' curve)the position's measured peak, no discount either way: +0
individual skill termour club xG models haven't seen enough of him for a confident read, so nothing is added, never guessed: +0
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1960
form: national-team results, 23 appearances1225 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: -22
full roster Elo · with results: 1938

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-28. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#104 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
vs his seed
The folded nights have cost him 22 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€16m–€62m ≈ €31m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 2001the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×7.43
ageage 25, in the fee-peak window (24–27): ×1.00
defender fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×0.58
individual skillour xG model has no confident read on him, priced on club, age and role only, so the band is wide: ×1.00
our estimate: ≈ €31m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €10m (2019-01). Our estimate today: ≈ €31m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: undervalued , we rate him 214% above his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2019-01-01Vancouver Whitecaps → Bayern München€10m

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Canada’s record

at South Africa0–1Called it
at Switzerland2–1Missed it
v Qatar6–0Called it
v Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Canada. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.