Romelu Lukaku

Club football at SSC Napoli.

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
32
sourced with the squad
position
Offence
Belgium
club
SSC Napoli
football-data.org
club tier
1780
ClubElo strength
our board
#137
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
1467′
26 appearances
npxG + xA per 90
0.56
99th percentile of peers

On the pitch

Goals and assists for Belgium, on the record and counted.

goals
1
assists
1

goals and assists from our captured match events · caps and minutes from the appearance record

Sourced

squad: Belgium · Offencefootball-data.org · 2026-06-29
club: SSC Napolifootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1934 ±45

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1905 full roster Elo (−29 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Belgium's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1852
age curve at 32 (offences' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls: -19
attacking output, our xG modelhis percentile among minutes-qualified peers, from club seasons: +101
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1934
form: national-team results, 26 appearances1467 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: -29
full roster Elo · with results: 1905

Where the +101 skill term comes from

Not a reputation, a measurement. We score every shot in the data ourselves and rank him among minutes-qualified peers; a fixed arithmetic turns that rank into points.

measured: 0.56 npxG + xA per 90
his rank: 99th percentile of qualified peers
scored from: the open StatsBomb archive, every shot scored by our own xG model
the arithmetic: 46 pts/σ × z(98.6th) = 46 × 2.20 = +101

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-06-27. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#137 of 1424 on our board, top 10% of everyone we rate.
vs his seed
The folded nights have cost him 29 points off his seed, kept on the record, like everything.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€6.5m–€25m ≈ €13m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1780the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×2.54
ageage 32, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year: ×0.37
attacker fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×1.00
individual skillmeasured 99th percentile of peers: ×1.79
our estimate: ≈ €13m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

The market’s last public word: €30m (2024-08). Our estimate today: ≈ €13m. The gap is evidence, many of them, together, recalibrate our model; no single one rewrites him.

our read: richly priced , we rate him 57% below his last market price (a gem signal, context only)

2024-08-29Chelsea → Napoli€30m
2024-07-01AS Roma → Chelseaundisclosed
2023-08-31Chelsea → AS Romaloan
2023-07-01Inter → Chelseaundisclosed

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Belgium’s record

v SenegalSealed
at New Zealand1–5Called it
v Iran0–0Missed it
v Egypt1–1Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Belgium. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.