Awer Mabil

Sourced facts, dated and on the record. Squad membership, and his club when a source names one. Nothing invented; we don’t make players up.

At a glance

age
30
sourced with the squad
position
Midfield
Australia
club tier
1290
ClubElo strength
our board
#1183
of 1424 rated players
folded so far
32′
2 appearances

Sourced

squad: Australia · Midfieldfootball-data.org · 2026-06-29

Sourced context, nothing more. It never touches a call.

Our rating · the working

the board →

1569 ±77

his quality rating: club, age and measured output. The board orders by this plus his World Cup form, less a discount for how much we can measure him.

How the number is builtopenclose

1567 full roster Elo (−3 from national-team results)

the ± is how settled the number is, more minutes, tighter band

Tier 2, lineups + results, how rich the evidence is, not just how much

at or near his peak, no projected upside from age

Where he starts (his team’s strength, we refuse to invent what we haven’t measured) plus two fixed nudges make the quality rating above; the last line is what national-team results have added since, taking it to his full roster Elo.

starts at Australia's strengththe fair club-over-national anchor, every player's starting point: 1592
age curve at 30 (midfields' curve)measured from the open archive by our own study (defenders: the published literature's shape), never fitted to our calls: -22
individual skill termour club xG models haven't seen enough of him for a confident read, so nothing is added, never guessed: +0
quality rating · club, age + measured output: 1569
form: national-team results, 2 appearances32 minutes, weighted by margin, surprise and his match stats, but shared across the XI: -3
full roster Elo · with results: 1567

A forward-only shadow signal, as of 2026-05-31. The skill term comes from our own xG models over the open archive; the rest is earned, recorded per appearance, auditable, never back-filled. It never moves a live call.

The notebook

The lines a beat writer keeps, except every one of ours is read off the ledger above, auditable to the night. Nothing invented.

standing
#1183 of 1424 rated players on our board.

What he’d cost · our estimate

€1.1m–€4.1m ≈ €2.1m

Not a figure from any valuation site; we don’t republish those. Our own model: the level he plays at, what we’ve measured of him, his age and his role. A band, not a point: we can’t see contract length or release clauses, the two biggest real drivers, so we say so.

The workingopenclose

reference feea mid-tier-club, peak-age forward of average measured skill: €8m
club tier 1290the level he plays at, the strongest signal of what a club pays: ×0.50
ageage 30, past the fee-peak, value falls ~18% a year: ×0.55
midfielder fee factorstrikers set the market's top; midfield runs close; defence and goal at the record books' discounts: ×0.90
individual skillour xG model has no confident read on him, priced on club, age and role only, so the band is wide: ×1.00
our estimate: ≈ €2.1m

fee-model v3 priors (panel-anchored, 2026-06), calibrated against our reported fees. The band is roughly two-in-three likely; contract length and release clauses are data we don’t hold. Context only, it never touches a call.

The fee record · sourced

2023-08-21Cadiz → Grasshoppersundisclosed
2023-07-01Sparta Praha → Cadizundisclosed
2023-01-04Cadiz → Sparta Prahaloan
2022-07-01FC Midtjylland → Cadizfree

Reported moves, dated and attributed (api-football.com), news facts, not a valuation site’s estimates. It never touches a call.

In our coverage · Australia’s record

at Paraguay0–0Called it
at USA2–0Missed it
v Turkey2–0Missed it

The newsroom’s calls on Australia. Team-level, never dressed up as a player stat.