Finishing table

Premier League · every club, every position · the projection

Provisional · not locked2026/27 seasonA pre-season preview. It updates through the summer as signals land; after kickoff the Projection tab becomes the live projected finish. Not on the record yet.

Each row is a club, ordered by its expected finish. Each column is a finishing position, from champions on the left to bottom of the table on the right. A cell shows how often, across 10,000 simulated seasons, that club finished in that exact place, so you read the whole spread, not just the single most likely slot.

top four (Champions League)bottom three (relegation)deeper colour means more often

Club	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
1Arsenal	45	21	11	7	4
2Man City	16	17	14	11	8	7	6	5	4
3Aston Villa	8	10	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4
4Man United	7	10	10	10	9	8	7	7	6	5	5	4
5Liverpool	6	9	10	10	9	9	7	6	6	5	5	4
6Bournemouth	4	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	4	4
7Brighton			5	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4
8Brentford		4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	6	6	5	4
9Newcastle			4	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	4
10Chelsea			4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	4	4
11Forest				5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4
12Fulham				4	5	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	4
13Crystal Palace				4	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5
14Everton					4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	5	4
15Leeds					4	5	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	5	4
16Tottenham						4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	7	5
17Sunderland									4	5	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	10	8	4
18Coventry													4	5	7	10	13	16	19	13
19Ipswich														5	6	9	12	17	22	17
20Hull																	5	10	21	55

clubs + ratings: ClubElo (England) with the sourced 2026/27 promotion/relegation transition (promoted carry their Championship rating), as of the snapshot date. As of 2026-06-25. Provisional pre-season preview, not on the record yet. Read off the simulated finishing positions; each club's row sums to one across all positions. Clubs level on points within a simulated season are split by banked goal difference where the season has been played, otherwise by a fair draw.